What decides it
WASEvenIND
Overall strengthNeither side
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WAS offense vs IND defenseNeither side
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IND offense vs WAS defenseNeither side
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Schedule spotNeither side
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Who's playingNeither side
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Schedule spot
Rest and travel since each team's last game. The fresher side is highlighted.
WASINDDays of rest11Back-to-backNoNo3rd game in 4 nightsNoNoTravel since last game240 mi763 miTime zones crossed01
Key matchups
Star vs. starThe matchup that swings the game is hidden until you unlock.
Bench minutesSecond-unit edge, explained in the full breakdown.
Player news
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
What could flip it
What could flip the prediction is in the full breakdown.
Model vs market
IND win chance — our model50%IND win chance — betting market60%IND win chance — published50%Market spread (IND)-3.5Total — market / our projection225.5 / 225
Median of 9 sportsbooks, —. Lines are shown for information only. We are not a sportsbook and don't take bets.
What changed today
No change to the projection since this morning.