What decides it
NOPEvenGSW
Pelicans stars sitNeither side
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Back-to-back, three-in-fourNeither side
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Ratings gapNeither side
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Warriors depth thinned tooNeither side
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Line moving one wayNeither side
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Schedule spot
Rest and travel since each team's last game. The fresher side is highlighted.
NOPGSWDays of rest01Back-to-backYesNo3rd game in 4 nightsYesNoTravel since last game348 mi0 miTime zones crossed00
Key matchups
Star vs. starThe matchup that swings the game is hidden until you unlock.
Bench minutesSecond-unit edge, explained in the full breakdown.
Player news
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
What could flip it
What could flip the prediction is in the full breakdown.
Model vs market
GSW win chance — our model50%GSW win chance — betting market60%GSW win chance — published50%Market spread (GSW)-3.5Total — market / our projection225.5 / 225
Median of 9 sportsbooks, —. Lines are shown for information only. We are not a sportsbook and don't take bets.
What changed today
No change to the projection since this morning.