What decides it
SASEvenPOR
Rating gapNeither side
Unlock to read why this factor matters tonight.
Portland's missing piecesNeither side
Unlock to read why this factor matters tonight.
Seven straightNeither side
Unlock to read why this factor matters tonight.
Tired legs on both sidesNeither side
Unlock to read why this factor matters tonight.
Home floorNeither side
Unlock to read why this factor matters tonight.
Schedule spot
Rest and travel since each team's last game. The fresher side is highlighted.
SASPORDays of rest00Back-to-backYesYes3rd game in 4 nightsYesYesTravel since last game484 mi827 miTime zones crossed00
Key matchups
Star vs. starThe matchup that swings the game is hidden until you unlock.
Bench minutesSecond-unit edge, explained in the full breakdown.
Player news
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
What could flip it
What could flip the prediction is in the full breakdown.
Model vs market
POR win chance — our model50%POR win chance — betting market60%POR win chance — published50%Market spread (POR)-3.5Total — market / our projection225.5 / 225
Median of 9 sportsbooks, —. Lines are shown for information only. We are not a sportsbook and don't take bets.
What changed today
No change to the projection since this morning.