What decides it
HOUEvenPHX
Rating gapNeither side
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Rockets defenseNeither side
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Rest and scheduleNeither side
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Rockets missing bigsNeither side
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Head-to-head runNeither side
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Schedule spot
Rest and travel since each team's last game. The fresher side is highlighted.
HOUPHXDays of rest21Back-to-backNoNo3rd game in 4 nightsNoYesTravel since last game1,014 mi0 miTime zones crossed10
Key matchups
Star vs. starThe matchup that swings the game is hidden until you unlock.
Bench minutesSecond-unit edge, explained in the full breakdown.
Player news
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
What could flip it
What could flip the prediction is in the full breakdown.
Model vs market
PHX win chance — our model50%PHX win chance — betting market60%PHX win chance — published50%Market spread (PHX)-3.5Total — market / our projection225.5 / 225
Median of 9 sportsbooks, —. Lines are shown for information only. We are not a sportsbook and don't take bets.
What changed today
No change to the projection since this morning.