What decides it
TOREvenDEN
Schedule squeezeNeither side
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Kawhi sitsNeither side
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Denver's offenseNeither side
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Raptors defendNeither side
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Schedule spot
Rest and travel since each team's last game. The fresher side is highlighted.
TORDENDays of rest11Back-to-backNoNo3rd game in 4 nightsYesNoTravel since last game837 mi0 miTime zones crossed10
Played at about 5,279 ft: altitude has historically helped the home side.
Key matchups
Star vs. starThe matchup that swings the game is hidden until you unlock.
Bench minutesSecond-unit edge, explained in the full breakdown.
Player news
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
???Hidden playerStat angle with the numbers behind it.
What could flip it
What could flip the prediction is in the full breakdown.
Model vs market
DEN win chance — our model50%DEN win chance — betting market60%DEN win chance — published50%Market spread (DEN)-3.5Total — market / our projection225.5 / 225
Median of 9 sportsbooks, —. Lines are shown for information only. We are not a sportsbook and don't take bets.
What changed today
No change to the projection since this morning.